Comments on: A Case I Don’t Talk About Much https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375 fairly undermining public confidence in the administration of justice Fri, 08 Jun 2012 02:16:48 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.4.15 By: John Kindley https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3157 Fri, 08 Jun 2012 02:16:48 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3157 In reply to PLW.

I too do not believe that abortion should outlawed, at least during the first trimester. I too am a very strong believer in free speech. But fraud that kills people is an entirely different matter.

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By: PLW https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3156 Fri, 08 Jun 2012 01:59:51 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3156 Just some Popehat reader who was interested in an example of the misuse of anti-SLAPP. To be honest, I don’t really have very strong feelings about abortion one way or the other (although I am generically pro-choice). But censorship pisses me off, so I am a strong proponent of anti-SLAPP. But I’m also an economist, so I know laws have costs and benefits, and I was trying get a better feel for the costs of this one.

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By: John Kindley https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3154 Fri, 08 Jun 2012 00:23:57 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3154 In reply to PLW.

Check out this post I wrote a little while ago: http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1883

You would have a more fair and balanced understanding of “recall bias” if you bothered to read what I’ve already written on the subject. I’m not going to repeat here what I have already written elsewhere. Check out the law review article and the Reply brief in the North Dakota case. Also, note that the Beral study improperly confounds miscarriages with induced abortions in its conclusions.

Who are you anyway?

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By: PLW https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3152 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 20:38:25 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3152 In reply to PLW.

This is getting more and more interesting as a dig into it. Check out these two studies:

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18477486

and especially

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/15051280

I love the conclusion of the Lancet study

Pregnancies that end as a spontaneous or induced abortion do not increase a woman’s risk of developing breast cancer. Collectively, the studies of breast cancer with retrospective recording of induced abortion yielded misleading results, possibly because women who had developed breast cancer were, on average, more likely than other women to disclose previous induced abortions.

So it explains both the real relationship and why early studies got it wrong. I can literally find nothing on PubMed in the last decade that finds the relationship you posit. Is it a conspiracy?

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By: PLW https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3151 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 20:30:37 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3151 In reply to John Kindley.

But did he sue?

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By: John Kindley https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3150 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 20:07:04 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3150 In reply to PLW.

You’re correct that the widely-promulgated claim that abortion is 10 or even 20 times safer than childbirth is based on mortality statistics from immediate complications. But the risk of death from immediate complications from both childbirth and abortion is exceedingly remote. Breast cancer, by contrast, is the leading cause of death among middle-aged women. As my post indicates, it is generally accepted and established as a fact that childbirth significantly decreases breast cancer risk, and that this protective effect is abrogated by an abortion. See the North Dakota brief linked to from the post for why this loss of protective effect proves the “safer” claim to be false and misleading. We provided an affidavit in the Bernardo case which laid out the numbers demonstrating, based on generally accepted and established fact, that, incorporating just this relative increase in breast cancer risk due to this loss of protective effect, childbirth is in fact something like 100 times “safer” than abortion.

Your description of your link as “definitive” just because it comes from the NCI is misbegotten. We took issue with a large number of specific and concrete points in PP’s literature, which were basically the same as the points in the NCI’s literature. (A patently absurd falsehood published by the NCI was at the heart of the North Dakota lawsuit.) One salient example is how the 1997 Melbye study from Denmark has been portrayed, which I address in both my law review article and in the North Dakota brief linked to in the post. Another is the egregiously-ridiculous use made of the Lindefors-Harris study to “prove” recall bias. You can’t judge “the weight of credible medical research” until you’ve actually looked at that medical research, and had the opportunity to examine and cross-examine experts in the field, which is exactly what I did in the North Dakota lawsuit. Truth isn’t a matter of just counting votes, which is why the North Dakota trial judge’s decision was so obviously wrong. We certainly would have known going into these cases that we would lose if it was simply a matter of how many scientists voted how. Einstein famously said, in response to news that a book titled One Hundred Scientists Against Einstein was being published, that were his theory wrong it would have taken just one scientist to show it.

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By: PLW https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3149 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 19:37:04 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3149 I read the appellate opinion you linked to in

Agnes BERNARDO et al., Plaintiffs and Appellants,
v.
PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERATION OF AMERICA et al., Defendants and Respondents..

That seemed sufficient. What is the statement that you believe you can demonstrate was false and misleading? It seems like the key is that you wanted “an injunction restraining Planned Parenthood from publishing statements that abortion is

1) safe or
2) safer than childbirth and that
3) the weight of credible medical research has failed to establish a link between induced abortion and breast cancer. ”

Let’s focus on 2 and 3, because 1) depends entirely on your definitions of “safe” (is walking across the street safe?).

Starting with 3), it’s the easiest because it is obviously true. I provided the definitive link above.

Now turning to 2, and defining “safe” in terms of mortality. It’s empirically demonstrated to be true in the case of short-run effects (http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/01/23/us-abortion-idUSTRE80M2BS20120123) Now, maybe there are differential long-run consequences (i.e., the purported cancer link). Do you have anything other than cancer, because it’s pretty lame? Remember, the standard is “the weight of credible medical research” not “someone with a PhD. thinks”


More importantly, this seems like exactly the thing that Anti-SLAPP should protect against. You don’t want PP to say what they are saying so you sue them in order to either stop them by injunction or beggar them with attorney fees, even though the evidence for your claims is weak. And don’t take my word for the weakness of them evidence… the 4th district and the AMA and the National Cancer Institute are in my corner, too.

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By: John Kindley https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3148 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 18:38:57 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3148 In reply to PLW.

Don’t know if you’ve read the law review comment I wrote on this subject. Your comment suggests not. Don’t know if you’ve read the briefs, for both plaintiff and defendant, from the North Dakota false advertising case, which cites to the expert testimony at trial, most of which was undisputed. Your comment suggests not. If you can’t see that under ordinary principles of informed consent women considering abortion have a right to be informed of this information before undergoing abortion, and that it is false to claim that the scientific evidence as a whole demonstrates there is no increased risk of breast cancer associated with abortion, I can’t help you see the obvious.

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By: PLW https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3147 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 17:31:20 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3147 In reply to John Kindley.

Bah.. you have one due who has staked his whole career on a establishing a certain relationship. The best he can do is a risk ratio of 1.3 with borderline statistical significance. Most scientists disagree with him. http://www.cancer.gov/cancertopics/causes/ere/workshop-report

Do you know what the relative risks were in the case of smoking? 20.

The comparison between these two is ludicrous.

The courts are for going after people who are making demonstrably false claims to intentionally mislead consumers, not to use the power of the state win an argument by fiat that you can’t win the old-fashioned way.

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By: John Kindley https://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375&cpage=1#comment-3146 Thu, 07 Jun 2012 15:58:31 +0000 http://www.peoplevstate.com/?p=1375#comment-3146 In reply to PLW.

I suppose then, by your logic, you believe the tobacco industry should have been allowed to continue misrepresenting the scientific evidence linking cigarettes to lung cancer without repercussions? Was that “censorship”? There in fact exist laws against false advertising, and these laws provide for injunctive relief to prevent false advertising. There also in fact exist informed consent laws, which prohibit health care providers from misrepresenting risks to patients. There is no First Amendment right to misrepresent health risks in commercial communications.

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